Wishing well: Difference between revisions
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=== Finding probability & needed money === |
=== Finding probability & needed money === |
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There are 12 different types of rewards that are all exactly same likely to get. |
There are 12 different types of rewards that are all exactly same likely to get. If your karma is positive, the chance of getting ''anything'' is at least 0.05 ('''5%'''). |
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This means that the chance of ''getting what you want'' is 0.05/12 ≈ 0.004167 ≈ '''0.4%'''. |
This means that the chance of ''getting what you want'' is at least 0.05/12 ≈ 0.004167 ≈ '''0.4%'''. |
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When using 30 gold per attempt, you need (1/probability)*30 money to get what you want. That is (12/0.05)*30 = '''7200 gold''' |
When using 30 gold per attempt, with positive karma, you will likely not need more than (1/probability)*30 money to get what you want. Because of the high number of attempts needed, this is a quite accurate "maximum" value. That is (12/0.05)*30 = '''7200 gold''', which is acceptable for the rare items. |
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Revision as of 15:13, 9 October 2017
Draft: Please help expanding this page! :)
SPOILER WARNING!
Do not read further if you prefer true brave role playing and want to find out about {{{name}}} all by yourself...
Items
- <item>money</item> (from 1 to 100)
- <item>wood</item>
- <item>iron ore</item>
- <item>gold nugget</item>
- <item>potion</item>
- <item>greater potion</item>
- <item>home scroll</item>
- <item>sapphire</item>
- <item>carbuncle</item>
- <item>present</item>
- <item>horned golden helmet</item> (automatically bound to you because of its rarity)
- <item>dark dagger</item> (automatically bound to you because of its rarity)
Finding probability & needed money
There are 12 different types of rewards that are all exactly same likely to get. If your karma is positive, the chance of getting anything is at least 0.05 (5%).
This means that the chance of getting what you want is at least 0.05/12 ≈ 0.004167 ≈ 0.4%.
When using 30 gold per attempt, with positive karma, you will likely not need more than (1/probability)*30 money to get what you want. Because of the high number of attempts needed, this is a quite accurate "maximum" value. That is (12/0.05)*30 = 7200 gold, which is acceptable for the rare items.