Wishing well: Difference between revisions

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There are 12 different types of rewards that are all exactly same likely to get. The chance of getting ''anything'' is 0.05 ('''5%''').
There are 12 different types of rewards that are all exactly same likely to get. The chance of getting ''anything'' is 0.05 ('''5%''').


This means that the chance of ''getting what you want'' is 0.05/12 = 0.004 = '''0.4%'''.
This means that the chance of ''getting what you want'' is 0.05/12 0.004167 '''0.4%'''.


When using 30 gold per attempt, you need (1/probability)*30 money to get what you want. That is (12/0.05)*30 = '''7200 gold''', even without karma, which is acceptable for the rare items.
When using 30 gold per attempt, you need (1/probability)*30 money to get what you want. That is (12/0.05)*30 = '''7200 gold''', even without karma, which is acceptable for the rare items.