Wishing well: Difference between revisions
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
Content deleted Content added
imported>TwoBeFree No edit summary |
imported>TwoBeFree No edit summary |
||
| (16 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown) | |||
| Line 3: | Line 3: | ||
---- |
---- |
||
| ⚫ | |||
{{Spoiler}} |
|||
---- |
|||
| ⚫ | |||
* <item>money</item> (from 1 to 100) |
* <item>money</item> (from 1 to 100) |
||
| Line 19: | Line 15: | ||
* <item>carbuncle</item> |
* <item>carbuncle</item> |
||
* <item>present</item> |
* <item>present</item> |
||
** (contains one of |
|||
** <item>greater potion</item> |
|||
** <item>pie</item> |
|||
** <item>sandwich</item> |
|||
** <item>carrot</item> |
|||
** <item>cherry</item> |
|||
** <item>blue elf cloak</item> |
|||
** <item>summon scroll</item>, |
|||
** making it relatively useless even for beginners. See below.) |
|||
* <item>horned golden helmet</item> (automatically bound to you because of its rarity) |
* <item>horned golden helmet</item> (automatically bound to you because of its rarity) |
||
* <item>dark dagger</item> (automatically bound to you because of its rarity) |
* <item>dark dagger</item> (automatically bound to you because of its rarity) |
||
== Finding probability & needed money == |
|||
There are 12 different types of rewards that are all exactly same likely to get. If your karma is positive, the chance of getting ''anything'' is at least 0.05 ('''5%'''). |
There are 12 different types of rewards that are all exactly same likely to get. If your karma is positive, the chance of getting ''anything'' is at least 0.05 ('''5%'''). |
||
| Line 29: | Line 34: | ||
This means that the chance of ''getting what you want'' is at least 0.05/12 ≈ 0.004167 ≈ '''0.4%'''. |
This means that the chance of ''getting what you want'' is at least 0.05/12 ≈ 0.004167 ≈ '''0.4%'''. |
||
When using 30 gold per attempt, with positive karma, you will likely not need more than (1/probability)*30 money to get what you want. Because of the high number of attempts needed, this is a quite accurate "maximum" value. That is (12/0.05)*30 = '''7200 |
When using 30 gold per attempt, with positive karma, you will likely not need more than (1/probability)*30 money to get what you want. Because of the high number of attempts needed, this is a quite accurate "maximum" value. That is (12/0.05)*30 = '''7200 money''', which is acceptable for the rare items. |
||
=== You want something specific from a ''present''? === |
|||
Now it becomes expensive, don't do that. Really, don't do that. None of the items in the present are worth the wishing well money: |
|||
The chance of getting one specific item from a present is at least (0.05/12)/7 ≈ 0.0006 ≈ '''0.06%'''. That's '''1680 attempts''' or '''50400 money''' on average. Fifty thousand money! Forget this! |
|||